RIASSUNTO
In this study, based on Nansi Lake in Shandong Province as the study area and five-year period of remote sensing, land use and other data in 1980–2015, in RS and GIS technical support, land use dynamics model was used to analyze land use pattern changes in the study area during 1980–2015, and CA-Markov (cellular automata - Markov) model was applied to simulate the future change trend of land use pattern in Nansi Lake. It is proven that the urbanization is accelerated in 2015–2025, but the back-up resources are insufficient.