Pubblicazione scientifica

Impact of drought on crime in California: A synthetic control approach

FILONE TECNOLOGICO	TEMA
produzione e raccolta

RIASSUNTO

Climate and weather have been linked to criminal activity. The connection between climatological conditions and crime is of growing importance as we seek to understand the societal implications of climate change. This study describes the mechanisms theorized to link annual variations in climate to crime in California and examines the effect of drought on statewide crime rates from 2011–2015. California has suffered severe drought since 2011, resulting in intensely dry winters and several of the hottest days on record. It is likely that the drought increased economic stress and shifted routine activities of the population, potentially increasing the likelihood of crime. We used a synthetic control method to estimate the impact of California’s drought on both property and violent crimes. We found a significant increase in property crimes during the drought, but no effect on violent crimes. This result was robust to several sensitivity analyses, including a negative control.

DATA

Data di pubblicazione: 04/10/2017

AUTORI

GOIN DANA E
RUDOLPH KARA E
AHERN JENNIFER

ENTE DI AFFERENZA

EPIDEMIOLOGY SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH UNIV CALIFORNIA BERKELEY BERKELEY CALIFORNIA USA
UNIV RIJEKA CROATIA

RIVISTA

PLoS ONE, 12(10), e0185629

IMPACT FACTOR

2,870

indietro